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MB3-210 - Great Plains 8.0 Report Writer - BrainDump Information

Vendor Name : Microsoft
Exam Code : MB3-210
Exam Name : Great Plains 8.0 Report Writer
Questions and Answers : 153 Q & A
Updated On : October 19, 2018
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MB3-210 exam Dumps Source : Great Plains 8.0 Report Writer

Test Code : MB3-210
Test Name : Great Plains 8.0 Report Writer
Vendor Name : Microsoft
Q&A : 153 Real Questions

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Microsoft Ships BI Enhancements, Extensions For terrific Plains eight.0 | killexams.com Real Questions and Pass4sure dumps

On the company analytics entrance, Microsoft announced enterprise intelligence components that have been prolonged for the MBS-super Plains knowledgeable version.

the new modules consist of MBS top notch Plains evaluation Cubes for Excel, Key efficiency Indictors for MBS enterprise Portal, Microsoft office answer Accelerator for Sarbanes-Oxley, SQL Server 2000 Reporting capabilities file Packs and an more desirable SmartList Builder.

the most significant module, evaluation Cubes for Excel, offers OLAP cubes for typical economic tasks reminiscent of popular ledger, debts receivables and bills payable. The module permits consumers to tug facts from SQL Server into Excel.

Microsoft's OLAP cubes are derived from Webhouse server, got prior this month from knowledgeable knowledge, an MBS associate primarily based in Sydney and Melbourne, Australia and Fargo, N.D. The software changed into designed for in-depth analysis of splendid Plains company records.

The Redmond, Wash., company additionally used the code to improve the new BI groundwork layer for outstanding Plains 8.0 expert version, at first launched closing June. version eight provided new integration with Microsoft office 2003 and the Microsoft business solutions business Portal. The analytics module will permit extraordinary Plains eight.0 customers to installation subtle OLAP cubes for statistics mining throughout their firm, companions mentioned.

"customers need more suitable BI capabilities," pointed out Howard Diamond, chairman of ePartners, a Dallas-based mostly MBS partner. "that's fully a huge want right now."

Microsoft additionally announced on Monday new performance indications for the MBS company Portal and an MBS Portal 2.5 function Pack. The indications -- which yield statistics akin to income comparisons by month, quarter or yr, or a corporation's percentage of on-time deliveries -- will increase portal use. the new function pack incorporates protection-more desirable facts access guidelines for customers and a Human supplies administration Self-provider suite that enables managers to investigate the reputation of employees' timecards.

Microsoft's new Extender Module will permit excellent Plains customers and VARs to readily modify and personalize their business tactics. the brand new provide administration Module enables non-income agencies and public sector businesses to enhanced manipulate their delivers and make sure compliance with regulations from inside super Plains eight.0, Microsoft pointed out.

On the SQL Server 2000 front, Microsoft comprises eight templates for the remarkable Plains eight.0 reporting service packs. Templates incorporate Open Orders, Commissions, customer Profitability, stock price, Open buy Orders by using seller, returned-Ordered portions devoid of Open buy Orders, worker skill and Work center capacity .

moreover, Microsoft greater the flexibility of SmartList Builder, giving purchasers an unlimited choice in defining ad hoc queries of splendid Plains eight.0 data.

Microsoft's extension modules for remarkable Plains 8.0 are available now. The analytics groundwork code could be brought to the awesome Plains platform with the aid of the end of March. Microsoft will start shipping exceptional Plains eight.5 and MBS company Portal 3.0 upgrades in the fourth quarter of 2005.


Dynamics GP and intelligent Cloud Insights: what is Microsoft attempting to do right here? | killexams.com Real Questions and Pass4sure dumps

About Mark Polino

Mark Polino is a licensed Public Accountant (CPA) and a former Microsoft MVP (2007-2018) for enterprise options. he is the author or coauthor of 5 books regarding Microsoft Dynamics GP.  Mark additionally continues the Dynamics GP concentrated website DynamicAccounting.web. He speaks and writes constantly about ERP connected subject matters. Mark has been a controller and CFO for a division of a publicly traded enterprise and he has  labored as a consultant implementing ERP solutions. Mark holds additional certifications including licensed counsel expertise professional (CITP), certified in economic Forensics (CFF) , Chartered international management Accountant (CGMA). Dynamics Credentialed knowledgeable for Dynamics GP 2015 (Core installation and Core Financials), Xero certified. He holds a bachelor's degree in accounting from the college of central Florida and an MBA from Rollins school. Mark lives with his household in Florida.

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Microsoft surface experience All About Maximizing 'whole lifestyles Experiences' | killexams.com Real Questions and Pass4sure dumps

surface professional 6 in blackPatrick Moorhead

today I attended Microsoft’s adventure in big apple city where it unveiled a whole suite of surface items and windows updates geared toward enabling own productiveness and managing the stability between work and private lives. These bulletins come on the heels of Microsoft Ignite 2018 in Orlando, FL, which I attended remaining week and coated substantially (see part 1 and part 2 of my coverage of the adventure if involved, in addition to my tackle the new floor Hub 2). As anyone who follows Microsoft knows notwithstanding, you recognize the company in no way sleeps. Let’s take a glance at these new items and experiences announced nowadays, and how they healthy into Microsoft’s imaginative and prescient of a neatly-balanced digital way of life.

A changing world

Microsoft spent enormous time surroundings the desk for the new bulletins, expounding on how the digital age has converted our lives and work to the point that many consider as even though they're “all the time on.” i can certainly for my part attest to this. i'm 50 years ancient however work like a millennial. On the downside, we spend tremendous parts of our days looking at screens and checking our telephones, and it may also be very tough to focal point, stay productive, and locate meaning in both our personal and work lives. in accordance with Microsoft, many people these days see their careers “less as a ladder, extra as lattice,” and are more focused on own increase and pursuing assorted passions. I consider Microsoft is spot on in this evaluation—I’ve heard the same factor from many millennials, including my own GenZ kids. With all of this in mind, Microsoft is heralding what it is asking a “new era of personal productivity” with new expertise that it says “empowers” as an alternative of “overwhelms.” Microsoft had given some guidelines to all of this on the inspire channel adventure, however at modern-day experience, it went huge and public with its method. 

Microsoft floor Panos Panay introduces new SurfacesPatrick Moorhead

New floor devices

To this end, Microsoft introduced a slew up additions to its floor portfolio. These encompass the surface seasoned 6, floor computing device 2, surface Studio 2, and floor Headphones, as well as a brand new buying option known as surface All entry. In my mind, these all convey minor but welcome improvements. Let’s dig a bit deeper.

The surface pro 6 2-in-1 now points a brand new Black colour choice and activities Intel eighth Gen Quad Core processors, which Microsoft says makes it sixty seven% sooner than its predecessor. Microsoft is claiming an all-day battery existence, as much as 13.5 hours. What this probably equates to when it comes to a productivity use case are around 7-8 hours. As I have said time and again when it involves battery benchmarks, I hope manufacturers wouldn't only focus on video playback—it handiest hits a small percent of the hardware, one tiny video playback block on a GPU which is on a SOC. Video playback is crucial, but i might additionally want to see a "entire existence" battery lifestyles benchmark the usage of Outlook, inking, surfing the web, and many others.

The surface pro 6 additionally now features an eight.0 MP auto-focal point digital camera, a 12.three" PixelSense display, and a full-friction hinge that permits a extra seamless transition between the quite a lot of person modes. My main remarks with this new iteration is that I in reality desire Microsoft would have added USB-C as it did with the floor Go. nevertheless, it is essential to needless to say few USB-C peripherals (corresponding to mice, printers and USB sticks) presently even exist, and even that external displays will also be linked in alternative ways. 

Microsoft also unveiled the surface laptop 2. As with the floor professional 6, the floor computer 2 is additionally now purchasable in black and upgraded to an Intel eighth Gen Quad Core Processor. It features a 13.5” PixelSense touchscreen, with skinny bezels and facet-to-edge display. The gadget additionally claims a 14.5-hour battery lifestyles, doubtless that means 7 hours of productivity battery existence.  no longer to sound like a damaged listing, but some will wish Microsoft had brought USB-C to this device as smartly.

surface laptop in blackPatrick Moorhead

on the experience, Microsoft also added the floor Studio 2, the 2nd iteration of this one-of-a-type gadget geared primarily in opposition t creatives (examine my tackle the common launch here). The digital studio now elements 50% greater images efficiency. As with the prior Studio, it points surface Dial integration and helps rich Ink experiences throughout office and other application. moreover, Microsoft upgraded the floor Pen with tilt sensibility and four,096 stages of power. here is a large deal for anybody who uses a pen for a dwelling. whereas the floor Studio 2 contains USB-C help, i will be able to say that i'd have favourite to see Thunderbolt three for exterior storage. 2TB of inner storage works for small video enhancing, second, and of course productiveness, but it surely just isn’t enough for extra stressful use instances akin to 4K and 8K video creation and 3D modeling and design. it's crucial to word that the surface Studio 2 is tremendous-skinny and its base no bigger than a big display base, so it's challenging to cram every thing interior.

Upgraded surface StudioPatrick Moorgead

The final surface product announced at the adventure turned into the surface Headphones, which is Microsoft's first top rate, "sensible" headphone experience. Microsoft says the surface Headphones are built-in with all the Microsoft functions and experiences shoppers love, that includes rich audio, palms-free calling, adjustable noise cancellation, and computerized pause and play. My take? These headphones are very at ease tremendous for blockading out the area and doing all your element. sooner or later, i need to see extra work done on doing calls and communications (ie Skype) interior co-working amenities. In my experience, the worst factor about working in a WeWork is the inability to make a private name. The "phone booths" are metal-shielded and block each LTE and WiFi alerts—now not to mention they're additionally occupied many of the time. nevertheless, the floor Headphones seem like a great first step within the right course. it be a crowded market at this time and i accept as true with Microsoft will deserve to do some huge advertising and marketing to move the needle.

Microsoft floor HeadphonesPatrick Moorhead

apart from all of those new additions to the floor portfolio, Microsoft also introduced floor All entry—a provider that permits clients to pay a monthly installment for his or her surface fabricated from alternative, starting at $24.99 a month (floor Go) for 24 months. This offer comes with an office 365 subscription, besides in-shop working towards, and guide. The inclusion of office 365 makes this a particularly low-cost present in my mind—that alone goes for $9.ninety nine a month.

Integrating phones and PCs

Microsoft additionally announced the provision of the October 2018 home windows 10 update. essentially the most essential ingredients of this, in my view, are two points geared towards bridging the gap between iOS/Android devices and PCs—the brand new Your mobile app and home windows Timeline for telephones. The Your cellphone app permits clients to use their notebook to reply to texts and notifications and entry pictures from their Android mobilephone. whereas Apple clients have loved the same skill with iMessage for years, here's new for windows. Microsoft says this will permit clients to hold enhanced productivity and focal point by no longer having to look back and forth between instruments.

The big surprise of the demonstrate turned into the Microsoft, in the future, will add "app mirroring" the place that you could have interaction together with your Android mobilephone apps in your windows 10 gadget. here is a "future" and the company confirmed interacting with an Android Instagram app on the surface. Blackberry had a similar characteristic well-nigh a decade in the past and am longing for studying more. this is huge and i like it. I talked with Microsoft afterward and it talked about that this changed into completed by way of an RDP (far flung desktop Protocol) session between the cellphone and notebook. Very cool, indeed.

Instagram "monitor mirroring" in actionPatrick Moorhead

With the replace, windows Timeline is now available on users’ telephones. windows Timeline is a characteristic that basically allows for users to go back and forth returned in time to locate information and web sites they had been the use of. i exploit this function plenty on my workstation because i go backward and forward between so many contraptions I lose track. here is exceptionally advantageous given how commonly the modern user switches back and forth between gadgets. It’s develop into extra intricate to keep song of where things are, and where you accessed them remaining. If Timeline functions as marketed, extra apps get assist, it's going to greatly help with this. i admire Timeline for windows and that i suppose i will like Timeline on my cellphone. 

I’ve been using these elements for months now, in particular, the Your cellphone app--i will attest to their usefulness. this is a extremely big deal, and to do it cross-platform is frankly massive.

New office inking capabilities

Microsoft also announced some improvements to Microsoft workplace geared in opposition t introduction. In PowerPoint, clients can now turn an inked bulleted list into formatted textual content and inked flowcharts or diagrams into textual content and snapped shapes. additionally, Microsoft says its dressmaker characteristic can recommend slides to clients based on what they sketch out on a blank canvas. New inking knowledge are additionally coming to Microsoft word. Microsoft says the Ink Editor characteristic permits users to edit note documents from delivery to conclude with their digital pens and touch-enabled devices—no keyboard vital.

Wrapping up

Microsoft is on the right song with these updates, in case you question me. the new additions to the floor portfolio bring minor but welcome advancements, and the new Inking facets in office seem to be to be a superb, helpful application of AI. The element I’m most impressed with is the expanded mobilephone-laptop integration that incorporates the Your cell app and windows Timeline on phones. These facets make cross-gadget usage enormously less complicated, and legitimately improve consumer event (take it from me). Microsoft has a clear vision—to deliver expertise that empowers americans across their work and personal lives. today’s announcements seem to do exactly that.

notice: Moor Insights & strategy writers and editors might also have contributed to this article.  

Disclosure: Moor Insights & method, like every analysis and analyst corporations, gives or has provided paid analysis, evaluation, advising, or consulting to many excessive-tech companies within the business, together with advanced Micro contraptions, Apstra, ARM Holdings, Bitfusion, Cisco techniques, Dell EMC, Diablo applied sciences, Echelon, Ericcson, body, Gen Z Consortium, Glue Networks, GlobalFoundries, Google (Nest), HP Inc. HewlettPackard commercial enterprise, Huawei applied sciences, IBM, Jabil Circuit, Intel, Interdigital, Konica Minolta, Lenovo, Linux groundwork, MACOM (utilized Micro), MapBox, Mavenir, Mesosphere, Microsoft, countrywide contraptions, NOKIA (Alcatel Lucent), Nortek, NVIDIA, ONUG, OpenStack groundwork, Peraso, Portworx, Protequus, Pure Storage, Qualcomm, Rackspace, Rambus, crimson Hat, Samsung applied sciences, Silver height, SONY, Springpath, sprint, Stratus technologies, TensTorrent, Tobii expertise, Synaptics, Verizon Communications, Vidyo, Wellsmith, Xilinx, Zebra, which may well be referred to listed here.




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How This Red State's Cruel Meth Laws Are Putting Women Behind Bars in Record Numbers | killexams.com real questions and Pass4sure dumps

In South Dakota, testing positive for drugs is a felony.

Inside the South Dakota women's prison.Photo Credit: KELO-TV screen grab

Like other Great Plains states, South Dakota has a methamphetamine problem. But it's becoming increasingly evident that South Dakota also has a problem with the way it deals with meth.

Because of its strict drug laws, the state is seeing a dramatic spike in women being sent to prison for meth. According to a new report from the non-profit news organization South Dakota News Watch, the number of women in prison in the state has jumped 35 percent since 2013, while the male prison population has increased at only one-quarter of that rate. Nearly two-thirds of all women prisoners in the state are there for non-violent drug offenses. The state now has the fourth-highest incarceration rate for women in the country, trailing only Oklahoma, Wyoming, and Kentucky.

Overall, about one-third of all inmates in the state are doing time for drug-related offenses, the majority of them for simple drug possession. That's a higher percentage than most other states, where drug offenders tend to make up somewhere around 20 to 25 percent of the inmate population.

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The high drug-related incarceration overall and for women in particular stems less from the prevalence of drug use than from the conservative, largely rural state's reaction to it. South Dakota has not responded to decades of failed war on drug policies by reforming them, but by doubling down on them.

The state has not moved toward the defelonization of drug possession, as at least 16 other states have. Instead, it has moved in the opposite direction. South Dakota has mandatory sentencing laws that include prison not only for the manufacture and distribution of meth but also for simple possession.

State lawmakers and cops have long favored tough drug laws, and they are still at it. This year, state Attorney General Marty Jackley (R) guided bills through the legislature that heighten penalties for meth dealing and increase sentences for dealers whose clients overdose and die.

But the state's most notorious and contentious drug law—one that is sending hundreds of people to prison—is the state's "possession by ingestion" statute. Otherwise known as an "internal possession" law, the statute allows for a felony conviction if a drug test reveals the presence of illicit drugs in a suspect's system. (The law also applies to marijuana, but the penalty for testing positive for pot is only a misdemeanor.)

The strictest in the nation, that law was upheld by the state Supreme Court in 2004. Last year, a bipartisan group of lawmakers filed a measure that would have slightly tweaked the law by removing marijuana, but that bill was killed by a unanimous vote in the first committee that heard it.

As of August, about nine percent of the male prison population and an astonishing 21 percent of the female prison population was doing time for unauthorized ingestion of a controlled substance. That's right: More than one out of five women prisoners in South Dakota is behind prison bars for nothing more than having used drugs.

South Dakota law enforcement and lawmakers may be happy with the status quo, but the man who actually runs the prison system isn't. State Corrections Secretary Denny Kaemingk told South Dakota News Watch that the cops' and courts' proclivity for busting and imprisoning women on drug charges is creating an expensive and ineffective cycle of imprisonment, release, and recidivism.

"We seem to think that locking individuals up is going to solve their addiction problem," said Kaemingk, a former drug officer. "They’re coming to us in corrections and we’re thinking that solves the problem, and I think in many cases it makes the problem worse."

Criminalizing addiction, especially among women who are mothers, Kraemingk said, creates a situation where the children are more likely to end up in prison themselves. He pointed to national studies showing that up to 80 percent of children who have parents behind bars will end up there themselves.

"Imprisonment in South Dakota is generational," Kaemingk said. "The females behind prison walls have experienced that as a child. The generation we have back there now as inmates experienced the same things when they were children."

Ironically, the state is sending these women to prison for long enough to disrupt their lives and child-rearing situations, but not long enough to actually take advantage of drug treatment programs already in place in the state prison system. A meth-centered treatment program in use in the men's prisons takes 15 months to complete, but the women going to prison for meth possession—internal or otherwise—average sentences of only eight months.

Kraemingk and other relatively enlightened actors in the state are pushing for enhanced treatment opportunities and expanding drug courts, among other measures, to better deal with the situation, but nobody seems to be talking about not involving these women in the criminal justice system in the first place. A first step would be getting rid of that hideous "possession by ingestion" statute. The next step would be defelonization or outright decriminalization of drug possession in the state. Drug use absent harm to others should not be the state's business.

This article was produced by Drug Reporter, a project of the Independent Media Institute.

Phillip Smith has been a drug policy journalist for the past two decades. Smith is currently a senior writing fellow at the Independent Media Institute. 


Robots more likely to steal your job if you live in one of these 10 states | killexams.com real questions and Pass4sure dumps

The rise of automation has led experts and workers to debate whether robots will steal jobs, augment employees, free them up to do more complex tasks, or some combination thereof. While potential benefits of the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution include more productive work and employees, this technology could also lead to upheaval in the job market, according to a recent report from SmartAsset. And certain states will feel the impact more than others, the report found.

The report examined data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics and Oxford University, comparing the jobs most likely to be impacted by automation to the number of workers holding those occupations in each state, to determine the vulnerability of each state's working population.

More about artificial intelligence

The American South faces the most trouble, the report found, with several of those states making the top 10. Along with the South, three states in the Great Plains region were also on the list, the report found.

SEE: IT leader's guide to the future of artificial intelligence (Tech Pro Research)

In terms of the types of jobs, telemarketers, title examiners, abstractors and searchers, hand sewers, and insurance underwriters are most at risk for losing their jobs, facing a 99% chance of being automated in the near future, the report found. However, these jobs do not employ a large population, it added. The jobs with the largest employment figures and highest risk of automation are retail salespeople (92% risk), cashiers (97%), and fast food workers (92%).

Here are the top 10 states where jobs are most at risk of being eliminated by automation, according to the report.

1. Nevada

Nearly three in five jobs in Nevada are at risk of being stolen by robots, the report found. While like other states, waiters, cashiers, and fast food employees make up a large portion of the most vulnerable workers, Nevada also is at greater risk due to the dominance of the gambling and hotel industry in the state's economy. Gaming dealers, maids, and bartenders all face a greater than 65% chance of being automated, the report found.

2. South Dakota

Along with retail workers, South Dakota contains a large population of trailer truck drivers and freight stock and material movers, both of which are at a high risk of automation.

3. Wyoming

In Wyoming, retail jobs are the most at-risk occupation, along with trailer truck drivers and construction equipment operators.

4. Louisiana

Again, cashiers are at the greatest risk in Louisiana, where self-checkout machines are increasingly prevalent.

5. Montana

Montana has a large population of retail workers, cashiers, and general office clerks, all of which are likely to be automated.

6. South Carolina

More than 1.1 million jobs are at risk in South Carolina, the report found.

7. Mississippi

Like the others, Mississippi has large numbers of retail salespeople, cashiers, hand laborers, and material movers.

8. Florida

Florida is one of the largest states in the US, and faces severe risk of automation as well, with an estimated 4.6 million out of the state's roughly 8.4 million jobs at risk of being automated, the report found.

9. Texas

In Texas, the top three occupations with the most jobs at risk are retail salesperson, fast food preparers, and general office clerks.

10. Alabama

Just under 55% of all jobs in Alabama are at risk of automation, representing 1.05 million jobs, the report found.

However, this doesn't mean that all hope is lost. Gartner predicts that while AI will eliminate 1.8 million jobs by 2020, it will create 2.3 million more. And 10 of the fastest-growing jobs in the world, including software engineers, marketing specialists, and HR workers, require people skills, not AI, according to a recent LinkedIn report.

To see the full list of how all 50 states rank, click here.

The big takeaways for tech leaders:
  • Telemarketers, title examiners, abstractors and searchers, hand sewers, and insurance underwriters face a 99% chance of being automated in the near future. — SmartAsset, 2018
  • The US states where the most jobs are at risk of automation are Nevada, South Dakota, and Wyoming. — SmartAsset, 2018
  • Also see istock-840333528-1.jpg

    Image: iStockphoto/PhonlamaiPhoto


    Wettest October Day on Record in Phoenix; Leslie a Hurricane | killexams.com real questions and Pass4sure dumps

      Above: A pedestrian in Phoenix walks through a flooded street with a hand truck to get sand bags to deliver to local businesses during a flash flood as a result of heavy rains on Tuesday, Oct. 2, 2018. Image credit: AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin.

    The remnants of former Hurricane Rosa made their presence felt across far northwest Mexico and the Southwest U.S. on Tuesday. Phoenix picked up 2.36”, which makes Tuesday the wettest October day in the city’s 123 years of weather records (beating 2.32” from October 14, 1998). Tuesday also ranks as the eighth-wettest calendar day on record in Phoenix. Totals of 2” – 3” across the Phoenix metro area led to widespread flash flooding, and there was a CoCoRaHS report of 3.45” just south of Flagstaff. The largest rain total from Rosa’s remnants through 3 am EDT Wednesday was 6.89” at Towers Mountain, Arizona—still well short of the state record for storm totals associated with a tropical cyclone (12.01” from Nora in 1997). See the weather.com article for more on Rosa’s impacts.

    Flood threat migrates to Plains, Upper Midwest this weekend

    Flash flood watches are still in effect across parts of the Southwest, including Utah, but the nation’s biggest rain/flood threat will shift to the Great Plains and Upper Midwest this weekend. Several days of intense rain are expected to develop along an oscillating frontal zone between a cold autumn storm in the West and persistent warm weather in the East.

    Seven-day totals of 5” – 10”, with some localized totals in the 10” – 15” range, are projected by the NOAA/NWS Weather Prediction Center to fall along a belt from Texas to Wisconsin (see Figure 1 above). These rains are likely to ensure that 2018 will be the wettest year in Madison, WI, since at least 1884. With soil moisture running high across much of the Plains and Upper Midwest, flooding may become a serious concern.

    Leslie: A hurricane at last

    In one of the less-dramatic intensifications we’ve seen lately, the ever-gradually-organizing Tropical Storm Leslie was upgraded by the National Hurricane Center at 5 am EDT Wednesday, becoming the sixth hurricane of the Atlantic season thus far.

    We’re now up to 12 named storms and 6 hurricanes, which is pushing toward the top end of the seasonal outlooks put forth by various groups. The yearly average for an entire Atlantic season during 1981–2010 (which includes both the pre-1995 quiet era and the post-1995 active period) is 12.1 named storms, 6.4 hurricanes, and 2.7 major hurricanes. Only one Atlantic hurricane thus far—Florence—has qualified as a major (Cat 3 or stronger). The amount of accumulated cyclone energy thus far in the Atlantic, 89.7 units, is just slightly above the 1981–2010 average of 85.3 for this point in the season, according to Colorado State University.

    Wednesday could end up being Leslie’s peak day. Thunderstorm activity (convection) around Leslie’s center was not especially strong, but it was fairly symmetric and wrapping around a large, distinct eye. Top sustained winds were up to 80 mph as of 11 am EDT. Leslie’s winds could increase a bit more: the hurricane was stalled well east of Bermuda above sea-surface temperatures of up to 26-27°C (79–81°F), and wind shear was a moderate 10 – 15 knots.

    From Thursday to Saturday, Leslie will get tugged northward, bringing it over cooler waters and likely denting its strength. A brief eastward drift is then likely early next week before an intensifying upper-level low in the North Atlantic shoots Leslie on an accelerating track toward the Azores. Leslie will most likely be a post-tropical storm by that point.

    Leslie is generating long-period swells of 6 – 8 feet that will affect portions of the southeastern coast of the United States, Bermuda, and the Bahamas through Thursday. Persistent onshore winds will accompany these swells, generating dangerous surf and rip currents. Large swells from the hurricane are expected to increase near the coasts of New England and Atlantic Canada by the end of the week.

    Watching the Caribbean for development

    A broad area of low pressure called a Central American Gyre (see tweet below) was located over the southwestern Caribbean Sea on Wednesday afternoon, and was generating disorganized heavy thunderstorms over much of the southwest and central Caribbean. This system has the potential to develop into a tropical depression early next week as it drifts slowly northward, and it will bring dangerous heavy rains to portions of Central America this week.

    Satellite loops on Wednesday showed that the low, which had not yet been given an “Invest” designation, had a surface circulation that was attempting to get organized a few hundred miles south-southwest of Jamaica. The heaviest thunderstorms lay well to the east, near Hispaniola. Wind shear was a prohibitively high 30 – 40 knots, due to the presence of a strong subtropical jet stream.

    The shear will relent this weekend, when the subtropical jet stream is predicted to lift to the north so that it is positioned over Cuba. This will create a region of lower wind shear over the central and western Caribbean, and recent runs of the GFS and European model have been suggesting that a tropical depression could develop early next week. This was also predicted by over 30% of the 70 ensemble members of the 0Z Wednesday GFS and European models. Any tropical cyclone that develops is likely to become entangled with an upper-level low pressure system, making the system a large and slow-to-intensify sloppy mess of a storm that will primarily be a heavy rain threat. The track such a storm might take is anyone’s guess at this point, and we’ll just have to watch how the models depict the evolution of this potential threat in coming days. In their 8 am EDT Wednesday Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave the system 2-day and 5-day odds of development of 0% and 30%, respectively.

    The king tides are next week

    Each month, the Earth experiences two periods that have higher tides than normal, due to the phase of the moon. The highest tides occur during the new moon or full moon, since the pull of the moon aligns with the pull of the sun at those times to make the oceans bulge out farther. The new moon in October occurs on Monday, October 8, and the highest tides of the month will occur within two days of that date. Next week’s tides will also be among the very highest tides of the year--the king tides. These happen when Earth gets near its January perihelion (the closest the Earth gets to the sun during the year), when the combined pull of the sun and the moon bring tides to their maximum level. Along the Southeast U.S. coast, the seasonal cycle of ocean currents and SSTs also controls when the king tides are at their highest, often resulting in an October maximum rather than a January maximum (during perihelion).

    Along the Southeast U.S. coast, water levels were already running high this week, due to persistent onshore winds combined with the wave run-up due to Hurricane Leslie’s swells pounding ashore. At Virginia Key, FL (next to Miami Beach), tides were about 0.4’ above normal on Wednesday morning (Figure 4). If we do get a Tropical Storm Michael next week, it will have the potential to cause much higher storm surge damage than normal, due to it hitting during the king tides.

    Dr. Jeff Masters wrote the Caribbean and king-tide sections of this post.

    The Weather Company’s primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM.

    Please note that DISQUS operates this forum. When you sign in to comment, your sign in information, along with your comments, will be governed by DISQUS' privacy policy. By commenting, you are accepting the DISQUS terms of service.

    The comments made below do not necessarily represent the views of Weather Underground; The Weather Company, an IBM Business; or IBM. Comments below should not be perceived as official forecasts or emergency information. For official information on potential storm impacts and evacuation information, please follow guidance from your local authority's emergency operations department.



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